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HURRICANE OSCAR - STORMY WEEKEND POSSIBLE


Over this weekend the current forecast outlook is for stormy conditions with strong winds.

Hurricane Oscar looks set to get caught up in the westerly and track across the Atlantic and move close to Ireland.

It is yet to early to give any details as it will be a few days yet until better information on its track becomes more clear.

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Oscar has slowed its forward motion significantly and has made the advertised turn toward the west-northwest. A motion toward the northwest is expected by late afternoon today as the hurricane rounds the southwestern periphery of a deep-layer ridge. A turns toward the north and then toward the north-northeast are forecast on Tuesday as Oscar moves north of the ridge axis ahead of an eastward-moving deep-layer trough currently approaching Bermuda. The trough is expected to continue advancing eastward over the next couple of days, accelerating Oscar toward the northeast at forward speeds near 25 kt on Wednesday through Friday. Although a strong shortwave trough is still forecast to dig southward to the west of Oscar on Wednesday, none of the model guidance shows the hurricane being captured any longer, and instead keep the cyclone as a separate entity that accelerates northeastward into the mid-latitude westerlies as a strong extratropical cyclone.

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