More rain and flooding over the coming day but possibly turning colder next week
The rest of this week will remain unsettled with heavy rain at times in places with the ongoing risk of flooding in places.
Thursday will be a better day but a little colder also with the risk of showers with some of these falling as hail or sleet across Connacht and Ulster with the risk of thunder.
On Friday morning another spell of heavy rain will move in from the Atlantic with the ongoing risk of spot and localised flood due to highly elevated rivers and heavily saturated soils with river levels in many place at a high risk of bursting their banks.
Another Rainfall warning with the risk of flooding will possibly be issued again for Friday especially across the northwest, southwest and west where the highest rainfall totals will be on Friday with 20mm to 40m expected the less rainfall totals will be across the south east and east.
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Tonight’s forecast
Saturday looks set to less rainfall amounts but still some heavy showers around again with the risk of some of these turning wintry across the northwest of Ireland with the risk of some sleet, hail and thunder in places. Between these showers there will be some bright and sunny spells.
Saturday night shows rain again spreading in from the Atlantic spreading to all areas on Sunday morning but at this stage rainfall amount do not partially high. This rain will then clear to the east later Sunday morning. Some bright and sunny spell will follow after midday from the west with drier weather over the afternoon and evening.
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STORM WATCH
A deep area of low pressure is currently showing to pass near or well out to the northwest of Ireland on Sunday night into Monday morning not given any real potential disruptive weather. This will have to be watched as the track is not clear and there is a outside chance the center of the low moves closer to Ireland bring stronger winds and possible stormy weather along with the risk of heavy rainfall again.
Bother the GFS model and the ECMWF model has it far enough of to the northwest of Ireland to not give any severe winds but some rain possibly sideswiping western and northern parts of Ireland.
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POSSIBLY TURNING COLDER FOR A TIME NEXT WEEK
As that area of low pressure passes of the northwest and north coast of Ireland on Sunday night and Monday much colder air then looks set to feed in for Tuesday and the middle of next week bringing with it colder air temperatures with the risk of Icy conditions. There would also be the risk of wintry falls of hail, sleet and snow with the risk of Thunderstorm activity also.
Both the two main weather models the ECMWF and GFS both show this outcome and also show the colder weather stating until the end of next week before turning warmer again next weekend.
This is something I will update again on over the week as well as that area of low pressure.
NOTE : No storm called Ellen has been named yet even though many sources have took it upon themselves to name Sundays low. Only Met Éireann, the UK Met Office and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) name these storms and there is a good chance that there will be no named storm at present with the low staying well out to sea. Please avoid page putting out misleading information.
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