Tropical storm could come close to Ireland at the end of next week with stormy weather
Models are currently showing the risk of a area of low pressure passing close to or over Ireland at the end of next next week.
The National Hurricane center in Miami Florida say there is a 80% chance of this forming into a Cyclone in the next 48 hours just offshore of the southeast coast of Florida.
At present it’s only early days but there is some suggestion on models it will head this way next week.
People should not be worried as its only early days yet . This morning Ecmwf weather model run shows the low pressure forming into a tropical or subtropical storm off the east coast of Florida and heading across the Atlantic over the week before losing its strength but as it moves close to Ireland again it strengthens just before hitting the southwest and west of Ireland packing a punch. I Have attached the animations below which shows this.
As the Tropical low moves across the Atlantic towards Europe it gets caught in another area of low pressure which can be seen south of Greenland and Iceland sitting in the north Atlantic with the tropical low then been broke down before redeveloping and gets steered towards Ireland by the mother low to the north
At present there is no point going into any detail as this is still 6 to 7 days away and we will have to wait for the area of low pressure to develop first. Below you will find the National Hurricane centers Update on Disturbance 1
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
810 AM EDT Sat May 16 20201. An area of low pressure located just offshore of the southeast
coast of Florida continues to produce shower activity and gusty
winds from portions of southeast and east-central Florida
eastward across the northwestern Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic
waters. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the
low is gradually becoming better defined, but the associated showers
and thunderstorms remain disorganized. Continued gradual
development is expected, and the system is likely to become a
tropical or subtropical depression or storm later today or tonight
while it moves north-northeastward over the Atlantic waters east of
Florida. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is
expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic
near or east of the Carolinas.
Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring
heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of east-central
Florida and the northwestern Bahamas through today. In addition,
hazardous marine conditions will spread northward during the next
few days, likely causing dangerous surf and rip currents along
much of the southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts of the U.S. See
products from your local weather office for more details. An Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to
investigate the disturbance. The next Special Tropical Weather
Outlook on this system will be issued by 3 PM EDT today, or earlier
if needed.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Cangialosi