NO SIGN OF THE WARM AND DRY WEATHER ENDING ANYTIME SOON ACROSS IRELAND
In this update I will talk first about the weather over next week and the very warm spell that looks possible around the 9th onwards.
Looking at both the ECMWF model and the GFS model this afternoon there is no signs of this warm spell breaking down till at least the middle of July with well below average rainfall and drought or near-drought conditions. Temperatures over next week will remain in the low to high twenties on days with sunshine. Some areas may see cloud on some days but at present there is not much rainfall shown.
On Wednesday there may be a few showers in the south of Ireland but these isolated, At present on the GFS it shows the risk of Thunderstorms on Thursday these hit or miss but this not set in stone yet the latest charts can be seen below.
Rainfall possible on Thursday in the east and north
Cape (J/Kg)showing the risk of thunderstorms
Friday and next weekend is looking dry and warm also looking at the present outlook on the both the ECMWF and GFS model.
Continues below
Over next weekend into the following week of the 8th of July right up to the 15th of July looks very promising. Two days ago I talked about the possible chance of a area of high pressure building over Ireland around that time frame and that was going by the ECMWF model so I said I would leave the next update to the weekend to see how other models play out and now it is looking very promising that this may happen.
Another area of High pressure will push up from the Azores an (Azores High) anticyclonic and the one thing that is very interesting about this area of high pressure is how strong of a high pressure it is showing at 1035mb.
Both the GFS and the ECMWF is shown this area of high pressure building again over Ireland and the UK which could see temperatures rise again into the high twenties and low 30s with a warm east to southeast airflow been brought in from mainland Europe.
This is not set in stone yet but to have two of the main models shown this now is fairly good. This is not good for water levels across Ireland at the moment as we are in Drought Conditions with Drought Conditions looking like the could prevail well into or after the middle of July.
Warm conditions again around the 8th of July onward where temperatures could reach into the 30s again
Very Strong area of High pressure from the Azores over Ireland around the 8th onward taken from the ECMWF MODEL
Warm conditions again around the 8th of July onward where temperatures could reach into the 30s again
Very Strong area of High pressure from the Azores over Ireland around the 8th onward taken from the GFS MODEL
I will update again on Monday on this period once the models run a few more times. So that it for this update from me and if your out and about this weekend I hope you enjoy the weather.
Kenneth from the Donegal Weather Channel
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