As we move into the final week of the meteorological summer in Ireland we are likely to see the first surge of any real heat next week after a cooler and unsettled June to date.

As mentioned over a week ago there was some signals that the end of June into early July was showing some good potential for warmer and drier weather conditions.

As we start to come into a better time frame models are starting to handle this all better with the Ecmwf and Gfs weather models showing a plume of warmer air moving up fro Southern Europe towards Ireland and the UK.

We are currently looking at the warmer air mass starting to push up over Ireland next Monday and Tuesday with temperatures in the low 20s but by mid week some models now suggest temperatures will rise into the mid to high 20s with the Ecmwf model keeping these warm conditions over next weekend also.

The above Gfs has warmer air moving up across Ireland next week also but it's not as warm as the Ecmwf weather model this evening but still showing temperatures in the low to mid 20s in places.

Over the coming days it will be interesting how this evolves.

With the Ecmwf weather model outlook this would eventually bring the risk of Thunderstorms at some stage with such a plume event.

Stay tuned for further updates over the coming days.