BREAKING NEWS - Spanish Met Office officially name storm Jorge which will hit Ireland on Saturday
The Spanish Met Office AEMET have officially named this weekend’s storm beating Met Eireann and the Met office UK to naming it. The highest impacted country will be Ireland and it is not likely Met Eireann or the Met Office UK will now name the storm Ellen due to it already been named.
Before we look at the weekend storm risk we will look at Friday as more heavy rainfall is expected. On early Friday morning a band of rain will spread in from the southwest of Ireland extending to all areas later Friday morning and as this spreads northeast wards there is a potential that it could turn to sleet and snow across the northwest of Ireland over the counties of Donegal, Derry, Tyrone, Fermanagh, Leitrim and Sligo. The most likely outcome will be rain and sleet to lower levels with sleet and snow over higher ground areas.
The rain will then clear through over Friday afternoon with showers following behind. Friday night another band of rain will spread into the southwest extending to all areas overnight and early Saturday morning with the risk of spot and localised flooding. Around 15mm to 35mm is expected with the highest amounts in the south of Ireland, A rainfall warning looks like it will be issued for southern coastal counties of Munster for Friday especially across Kerry, Cork and Waterford.
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A area of low pressure which has been named by The Spanish Met Office will then move close to the west and northwest of Ireland later Saturday morning and looks set to bring very strong winds on Saturday. This can be seen on the chart below
At present it looks very windy nationwide on Saturday with winds gusting between 90km/hr to 110km/hr.
Along southern, southwestern and western coastal counties winds look strong during the hours of later Saturday morning and afternoon with severe gusts between 100km/hr to 125km/hr with some isolated gusts of 130km/hr possible on exposed coastal areas of the west.
During the evening and night the center of the area of low pressure tracks over the northwest of Ireland and exits over scotland them strong and severe gusts will then transfer across coastal counties of the west, northwest and north with gusts between 100km/hr to 125km/hr possible.
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Along with the risk of strong or severe winds there will also be the risk of poor conditions around all irish coasts especially along the western seaboard where some coastal flooding could be possible.
On Saturday there will also be the risk of very heavy falls of rain or heavy showers merging into longer spells of rain which is not good news with all the flooding across Ireland already and this is only going to increase the chances of further flooding and river levels rising . Some areas on Saturday could see well between 15mm to 30mm of rain accumulate over the day especially across the west, midlands, northwest and north of Ireland.
Some of the showers on Saturday could also fall as hail, sleet or snow but any snow will be more likely over higher ground.
I will have another update later today
Kenneth from the Donegal Weather Channel
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